Saturday, February 18, 2012

UNSC then UNGA - How does it make sense?



Despite a disheartening failure at the Security Council, the League of Arab States has preferred not to give up. They're now before the UN General Assembly with the same demand of deposition for President Assad, and this time the way doesn't seem as hopeless as it was at UNSC. The much popular "double veto" though became one of the trending topics everywhere, was quite anticipated much before the voting process. But, this time the things are very much different. It's UNGA, no veto and an obvious support of the majority, which has made the passage of the resolution almost certain.

Although, the move holds complete procedural validity. It has been brought under Article 11(2) of the UN Charter which empowers the General Assembly to look into any matter pertaining to the maintenance of international peace and security, my doubt lies on the importance and effectiveness of the move. I've two questions:-

Does this move has the ability to make the change happen?
Can there be a substantive culmination of this resolution?
Let's evaluate the above two doubts raised on the merits of the provisions prescribed under the UN Charter.

Article 11(2) through which the resolution has been brought up itself doesn't bestow a conclusive character to the resolutions passed in the assembly. The article goes like this,
"The General Assembly may discuss any questions relating to the maintenance of international peace and security brought before it by any Member of the United Nations, or by the Security Council, or by a state which is not a Member of the United Nations in accordance with Article 35, paragraph 2, and, except as provided in Article 12, may make recommendations with regard to any such questions to the state or states concerned or to the Security Council or to both. Any such question on which action is necessary shall be referred to the Security Council by the General Assembly either before or after discussion."

So, going by the highlighted words, UNGA is impotent to bring about a conclusive decision without the final affirmation of the UNSC, which means that despite the passage of the resolution in the General Assembly, it doesn't obtain any substance to cheer about. It's bound to go through another discourse of disparity in the UNSC which has already shown disinterest in averring it once. We've our first question answered here. The General Assembly doesn't have any absolute ability to make the change happen.

Now, the second question requires a re-examination of the prevailing conditions. As it has already been shown that the resolution will be moving down the UNSC again, a successful culmination of the resolution is completely contingent upon the change of the stances of the dissenting countries.

The statement of the Russian Permanent Mission to the UN as recorded after the vote in the Syrian resolution avowed its confidence in the ability of Syria to forge a political settlement, which was equivocally supported by the Chinese ambassador. The statements have seen no change since then. Both the countries are still on the same track, though criticizing the turbulence but imparting confidence in the recovery of political stability without the sanctions. This has got us very close to the answer for the second question, which is another episode of the no-hoper resolution. It's destined to fail again and no diplomatic efforts seem able enough to stop this fall.

This whole affair comprehensively stinks as a waste. Diplomacy isn't a mere thing to be practiced, it always carries an aim, an end which it targets to achieve. In this case, the efforts themselves have fallen short of credibility. They seem to be going nowhere, but still international press has got a lot to report, and so is it doing, appreciating the step and scathing the conditions of the country.

Monday, December 12, 2011

Drone Catch: The Iran-US Strife


Catching one of such aircrafts of the US Air Force fleet isn't anyway smaller than hacking a supercomputer. In a US acknowledged report, Iran has made an audacious catch in the form of RQ-170 Sentinel Drone, which was found flying over the eastern town of Kashmar, Iran. RQ-170 is an unmanned remotely controlled aircraft which has haunted the Afghan valley for a long time due to its infamous covert operations in the terror fed region. In fact it has been nicknamed as The Beast of Kandahar for its prolific use in Operation Enduring Freedom, wherein it recorded tremendous success.

There are varying claims as to how this Drone fell into Iranian hands. Whereas Iran is obviously claiming it to be a success of its Drone technology, US has asserted it to be a technological glitch. On another obvious note; neither US nor Iran is ready to disclose the exact tactic or glitch which caused it.

In the backdrop of this event, there is a longstanding and widening rift between US and Iran. The propped issues have brought them very close to a warlike situation now. Inter alia Iran's non compliance of Article 2 of NPT is the core issue which has gone clear with the 8th November IAEA Report on Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in Iran. The report has shown Iran on a structured path to development of nuclear weapons. Iran's persistent denials for nuclear arms invigilation have added to the suspicion of its deviousness.

However, the swords are out to be jabbed anyway. Some testing times are approaching for both these countries. Whatever way it turns out, whomsoever pulls ahead, devastation on both sides will be huge. It won't be like Iraq or Afghanistan which didn't stand even a mere chance of striking back. US has very well anticipated this danger and has thus been treading a very safe track yet.

Back to the Drone catch now. I found a very interesting headline aired by various news networks yesterday. "Iran will not return the caught Drone". Tell me now, doesn't it seem apparent? Why the hell would a country return any spying device back? The device was being used for espionage, to take a sneaky peep into the activities of that country. How can it be given away just like that? Mostly such cases don't even get highlighted. Countries prefer to discuss such things on a round table. All of it found the spotlight just because of the hostile stance of both the nations and the opportunistic showcasing of Iran's technological edge, otherwise the countries had been bilaterally and confidentially discussing this incident. The only espionage convention made in consonance with the humanitarian spirits is the Geneva Convention, 1948 for Protection of Victims of International Armed Conflicts. It restricts inhumane approach towards the nabbed spies, but doesn't encompass the instruments and devices used for espionage anyway. So, there is absolutely no question or doubt about the nonsensicality of such speculations or expectations. Completely illogical.

There is a lot more to come from this incident. Iran's action is still awaited, which it has touted to be "bigger" than this drone infiltration. Though a move as big as it is claiming can't be expected watching the precedents, but undoubtedly the incident has already added zest to the existing strife; with the failure of CIA and Iran's growing stiffness and emboldened stand.

Sunday, December 11, 2011

Making a move..

Hey Guys! This is the first post..so let's keep it a bit introductory.

I'll wrap the things up in two points.

1. WHAT AND WHY THIS BLOG?

Very straight. Sniffing the global news which frames up for some issues, taking a peek into them and exploring possible dimensions sharing my own perspective. The sphere which I'll be attempting to explore is very wide and is increasingly getting important.

Sprouting ramifications of globalization has hardly left any corner untouched. Every single news, be it of business, entertainment, science or technology; all of them are coming with a global beat. In fact, earlier we could classify the spheres as National and International, but now the layer between them has gone very skinny. News of national importance have shown unprecedented international impacts in the recent past, thus making the sphere bigger than ever.

The global order is through a change with varying international equations. The economic spur has brought various developing countries to the fore. A time has come when they can't just be tagged as "developing" countries but "contending" countries, which've re-written the power block concepts. Countries which used to be the followers or mere allies seeking refuge in that form; have obtained a stand and a voice of their own.

There is a lot to explore in this fresh breeze and that's what this blog intends to.

2. GETTING IN TUNE
I'm pretty fond of the "International phenomena". The strifes, the diplomacy, the jibes, they all come in an exquisite package. How one country, which is completely different demographically, politically and culturally, becomes ally of another sharing all congenial spirits or adopts a hostile stance being intolerant to even a mere difference in opinion. Actually, nothing has remained like "mere" in the international ground anymore. Every action is wreaking a reaction, which has made the subject tastier than ever. I expect to stay tuned with the international affairs through regular posts on such issues. Hope you find the things interesting here.

Will make a post soon!